Sunday, June 22, 2008

Labour out of '20's but still with the less support than Social Credit in 1981

The corks will be popping on the 9th floor as Helen Clark and Judith Tizard high five each other in their delight that Labour is no longer polling in the '20's.

Still, Labour has less support than Social Credit did in 1981 before the election.




Blogger Steve Withers said...

Fairfax seems to use the same basis for pollins a Colmar-Brunton. That gives National about 6 to 8 points more than they will actually see in an election.

The Roy Morgan polls have for some years been the more accurate and they have given Labour 35.1%.

Interestingly, all polls give the minor parties about the same (7% for Greens and 3%-4% for NZ First).

So why the consistent and persistent "skew" in the vote shares indicated for the two major parties when they would have even larger samples that should lead to a more accurate result.....not a less accurate result?

June 22, 2008 at 5:03 PM  

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