Political journalists, activists and junkies now have 24/7 access to New Zealand's most accurate forecast of the 2011 election result, following today's launch by New Zealand's online predictions market, iPredict, of this site on election results. It’s edited by Ian Llewellyn, a former press gallery political reporter for The Independent business weekly and the NZPA, and powered by the iPredict market. iPredict is owned by Victoria University.

The latest forecasts are here. Interesting that Peter Dunne has a higher percentage chance of retaining his Ohariu-Belmont seat than Auckland's Nikki Kaye has of retaining hers, and the Maori Party may get three seats. Also National is twice as likely as Labour to win New Plymouth.